Bryan (![[info]](http://l-stat.livejournal.com/img/userinfo.gif){kind=small} whip_lash) wrote in candid, |
Succeeding at the college level is (with the rarest exceptions) a necessary condition for succeeding at the professional level.
Well, there's Brad Johnson (college backup). And Tony Romo (undrafted free agent). Rare, but not rarest.
Gladwell is a hack, and for this he would have done better to go with baseball where guys drafted in the 89th round routinely outperform guys drafted in the 1st, but he has a point - failure at the college level is a fairly strong but hardly infallible predictor, and success doesn't predict anything except possibly getting a shot.
Well, there's Brad Johnson (college backup). And Tony Romo (undrafted free agent). Rare, but not rarest.
Gladwell is a hack, and for this he would have done better to go with baseball where guys drafted in the 89th round routinely outperform guys drafted in the 1st, but he has a point - failure at the college level is a fairly strong but hardly infallible predictor, and success doesn't predict anything except possibly getting a shot.
